Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000148 0.000164 0.000181 0.000201 0.000223 0.000247 0.000276
2025-03-23 0.000118 0.000141 0.000167 0.000201 0.000242 0.000291 0.000354
2025-03-30 0.000103 0.000129 0.000162 0.000207 0.000266 0.000341 0.000447
2025-04-06 0.000088 0.000115 0.000151 0.000202 0.000273 0.000370 0.000514
2025-04-13 0.000075 0.000102 0.000138 0.000192 0.000271 0.000383 0.000560
2025-04-20 0.000068 0.000095 0.000134 0.000193 0.000283 0.000417 0.000640
2025-04-27 0.000063 0.000091 0.000132 0.000197 0.000300 0.000460 0.000739
2025-05-04 0.000058 0.000086 0.000127 0.000196 0.000308 0.000490 0.000821
2025-05-11 0.000054 0.000082 0.000125 0.000197 0.000320 0.000528 0.000921
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000078 0.000121 0.000196 0.000327 0.000557 0.001010
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000074 0.000117 0.000195 0.000335 0.000588 0.001106
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000070 0.000113 0.000192 0.000339 0.000613 0.001194
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000064 0.000106 0.000184 0.000333 0.000618 0.001247
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.000062 0.000104 0.000185 0.000344 0.000661 0.001387
2025-06-22 0.000036 0.000061 0.000105 0.000191 0.000366 0.000728 0.001595
2025-06-29 0.000033 0.000057 0.000100 0.000187 0.000367 0.000751 0.001704
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000052 0.000093 0.000178 0.000356 0.000747 0.001748
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000051 0.000092 0.000178 0.000367 0.000791 0.001921
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000050 0.000092 0.000182 0.000384 0.000855 0.002160
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000048 0.000089 0.000181 0.000391 0.000892 0.002335
2025-08-03 0.000025 0.000046 0.000088 0.000182 0.000403 0.000947 0.002570
2025-08-10 0.000024 0.000044 0.000086 0.000181 0.000409 0.000985 0.002766
2025-08-17 0.000022 0.000043 0.000084 0.000180 0.000416 0.001028 0.002984